Set up Your Poker Business - Part 2: Variance and Bankroll Management

Bandarq — qqidnpoker.xyz; Hopefully you have read Part 1 and you know exactly what you may expect in this second the main «Start up series». In this part we will discuss what the bankroll considerations, expectations are and the importance of variance.

Right in the beginning it is important to mention that most the monetary issues and requirements assume that you are playing at a no limit hold'em dining table with the most, 100BB buy-in. In a later part we will discuss how a requirements change if you wish to play some other kind of poker.

I tell you at first, the importance of variance is a key issue in poker. You have to be patient with yourself because after a couple of sessions it can easily happen that you're winning with a horrible strategy or you are losing while playing perfectly. In the short run (10A�000 — 100A�000 played hands) even a bad player can have revenue, in the extra short run (1 — 10A�000 played hands) anyone, even the worst players can end up with a profit. Of course this is true the other way around as well. After a short period of time even the world class players can have a negative record. This variance is important because this edge gives weaker players an opportunity to take a shot and play. If they had absolutely no chance they would never play. So if you are winning in the beginning it could happen that it is only the positive effectation of variance (and your strategy is not as good as you think). This fundamentally means that in the event that you play one night only, you might even beat Doyle Brunson. However a professional player understands the variance perfectly and knows how to handle it. This brings us to the very important issue of bankroll management.

Bankroll management accounts for keeping in order at which level you play in relation to how much money you have in total for playing poker. Based on the bankroll management discussions on the 2+2 Forum, we can say that 4-6 buy-in variances in your winnings are absolutely normal. Many professional players who are long-term winners even had streaks of losing 16 buy-ins. Most poker players have encountered scenarios like this: within 1000 hands dealt you flop an underset, lose two coin flips, miss an open ended flush draw on the flop, and on top of this, your AA gets crushed by a KK in a preflop all-in. You look at your winnings, and feel terrible because after multitabling for 1-2 hours and making the right decisions, you end up with 5 buy-ins loss. As you climb the ladder to higher limits, the achievable win rate shrinks which increases the probability of such things happening. These negative streaks can happen any time, you should be ready for them and act appropriately. If you lose some buy-ins take your loss and move back to a smaller stake table before you really hurt your whole bankroll.

Since we are speaking about a business, you have to take three considerations very seriously:

1. the more hands you play, the smaller the role of variance will be

2. you have to have the best bankroll to reduce the chance of bankruptcy

3. you have to have the best bankroll so that in case of negative variance it won't influence the manner in which you play (being on tilt)

In the next part we will discuss the first investments you should make besides your inventory (bankroll) in order to gain competitive advantage.

0 комментариев

Автор топика запретил добавлять комментарии